Many are wondering whether Fantastic Four’s opening weekend will match Superman’s in the fight between the two summer blockbusters. The head-to-head box office battle between The Fantastic Four: First Steps and Superman 2025 has reached a fever pitch as Marvel’s reboot is set to release nationwide on July 25. Fantastic Four 2025 has the luxury of going second after DC’s reboot, but it also means that the Man of Steel will be taking some of the thunder away from Marvel’s First Family. One report has Fantastic Four potentially beating out Superman on its opening weekend, but another suggests that this is looking unlikely.
How does Fantastic Four’s opening weekend projections compare to Superman’s?
Opening weekend predictions for Fantastic Four 2025 are from $125 million to $145 million according to Box Office Theory, but only $100-$110 million according to Comscore. By comparison, Superman 2025 had a $125 million opener.
Let’s take these numbers separately. The $125-$145 million projection for Fantastic Four comes from a July 18 report from Box Office Theory, which tends to factor in Thursday numbers in its projections. That’s important to note because, traditionally, “opening weekend” sales only go from Friday to Sunday. Still, in a July 10 report the site projected that Superman 2025 would earn somewhere between $125-150 million in domestic sales on its opening weekend and noted that traditional industry tracking had it more around $100+ million, which puts its predictions into context.
Meanwhile, the $100-$110 million figure comes from Comscore, which includes the US and Canadian box office, by way of Deadline. While this is a lower number, it notes that the $13 million in presales for the film is higher than those for Thunderbolts* and Captain America: Brave New World, though it’s lagging 20% behind Superman’s. Box Office Theory believes that this number is much higher, saying that Thursday’s domestic previews for the film on July 24 “are currently pacing toward a $25 million start.”
Either way, it’s clear that Superman 2025 is still holding strong in theaters, boosted by its high Rotten Tomatoes score of 83% by critics and 93% by the audience. At the time of writing, the Rotten Tomatoes score for Fantastic Four 2025 is at 86%, revealing that this is yet another area where both movies are on equal footing. While Fantastic Four’s opening weekend numbers might be lower than Superman’s, its momentum could cut into its competitor’s overall box office numbers, especially when it comes to its performance overseas.
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